The yield curve has inverted, and history suggests that a recession could be approaching. In this video, I explain why an inverted yield curve has accurately predicted every recession since the 1980s.

The resolution of the inverted 10-year and 3-month yield curve usually signals a recession down range. Inflation expectations are reflected in the term premium, which has increased considerably ...

Scott Bessent, President-elect Donald Trump’s nominee for Treasury Secretary, described the world’s No. 2 economy as being in a recession, if not a depression. Bessent, in further bearish ...

"I think the most likely scenario, with what I think are the most likely policies being passed, are strong, and then a slowdown into recession the second half of his term," Rogoff said.

A new report by BMO says 63 per cent of Canadians surveyed expressed concerns about the potential for a recession in the next 12 months. The worries come as tariff threats loom over Canadian ...

In the Bank of Canada’s consumer survey out yesterday, almost half of Canadians expect a recession in the coming year and 58 per cent are uncertain about where the economy is heading. The sources of ...

The Treasury yield curve is one of Wall Street’s favorite recession indicators, but it seems to be broken, write Sam Goldfarb and Peter Santilli for The Wall Street Journal. Investors have long ...

I think that will continue into 2025. In a way, we are in a geopolitical recession. Fortunately, it hasn’t impacted the global economy as badly as it could have. We’re still expecting more ...

As tariff threats loom, a new Bank of Montreal (BMO) survey finds 63 per cent of Canadians expressed concerns about the potential for a recession in the next 12 months. The online poll also found 48 ...

The UK may already be in recession as Rachel Reeves’s record tax raid brings “extended agony” for the economy, an investment bank has warned. National GDP may be shrinking after a swathe of ...

Forget this week's minor decrease in the UK inflation number. The most important European data release was the confirmation from Germany that, during 2024, its economy contracted for the second ...

He describes the Budget as a “seismic shock” akin to the great recession. “I’ve been in the business 47 years. This would take us back to the financial crisis of 2008,” Coburn says.