it could be too late to head off a recession. One way for policymakers to be more forward-looking is to assign greater weight to financial market indicators in their analysis. During the postwar ...

The yield curve has inverted, and history suggests that a recession could be approaching. In this video, I explain why an inverted yield curve has accurately predicted every recession since the 1980s.

Students of financial markets often ... an inverted yield curve—a strong indicator that a recession is likely on the horizon. The shaded gray areas on the chart below highlight past recessions ...

Take a look at how various financial markets are trading following the release of January's consumer-price index: stock futures, Treasury yields, the dollar, gold and Brent crude oil.

Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF, The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR® Fund. Read ...

Wall Street has ramped up its soft-landing calls for 2024, but a renowned economic expert who popularized the most famous recession indicator in markets ... the global financial crisis in 2008 ...

Since 1978, the longest delay between a yield curve inversion and the start of a recession ... financial crisis. There's more demand than supply, whether you're looking at the labor market or ...

Financial liquidity is contracting rapidly (this has proven a good indicator of where ... V or U-shaped recession. As it stands, unlike government bond markets, corporate bond and equity markets ...

Most were brief and shallow, although some, like the 2008 financial crisis ... the economy is usually in a recession already. Therefore, labour market indicators typically have limited predictive ...