Second, asset prices should lead the business cycle. Are these two features borne out by the ... real equity price changes are one of the most useful predictors of recession starts. Chart 2 portrays ...

Wall Street fears a recession may be coming ... In fact, it has been argued that the housing cycle is important enough to drive the overall business cycle. We’ve seen home prices weaken since ...

Periods during which a business, an industry or the entire economy expands and contracts Many business cycles are anything ... of inflation and, later, recession as the economy cools down.

The U.S. is currently coming down from mid-cycle in the business cycle and will likely stay that way, provided that debt ...

It officially declared the last pandemic-driven recession, which lasted from March to April 2020, in July 2021. The problem that the institution's business-dating-cycle program was created to ...

“The LEI continues to fall on a month-over-month basis, but the six-month annual growth rate no longer signals recession ...