The yield curve has inverted, and history suggests that a recession could be approaching. In this video, I explain why an inverted yield curve has accurately predicted every recession since the 1980s.

The resolution of the inverted 10-year and 3-month yield curve usually signals a recession down range. Inflation expectations are reflected in the term premium, which has increased considerably ...

Growth has remained solid enough to fuel consumer spending and put the economy on track for a “soft landing” of reining in inflation without triggering a recession. It’s also been historic.

The U.S. 2-/10-year slope inverted in mid-2022, and we are still waiting for the recession that was allegedly predicted by the yield curve. For those of us who are not yield curve maximalists ...

There’s a reason birth rates are an increasingly prominent feature in discourse and policymaking today. Population ageing and decline is one of the most powerful forces in the world, shaping ...

Scott Bessent, President-elect Donald Trump’s nominee for Treasury Secretary, described the world’s No. 2 economy as being in a recession, if not a depression. Bessent, in further bearish ...

"I think the most likely scenario, with what I think are the most likely policies being passed, are strong, and then a slowdown into recession the second half of his term," Rogoff said.

In the Bank of Canada’s consumer survey out yesterday, almost half of Canadians expect a recession in the coming year and 58 per cent are uncertain about where the economy is heading. The sources of ...

Central 1 chief economist Bryan Yu said he thinks Canada will alter its immigration policy to allow more skilled permanent residentsRob Kruyt, BIV Debate around whether Canada is in a recession is ...

A new report by BMO says 63 per cent of Canadians surveyed expressed concerns about the potential for a recession in the next 12 months. The worries come as tariff threats loom over Canadian ...

As tariff threats loom, a new Bank of Montreal (BMO) survey finds 63 per cent of Canadians expressed concerns about the potential for a recession in the next 12 months. The online poll also found 48 ...