There are essentially no economists predicting a recession right now. That’s in sharp contrast to just 24 months ago. Could they be wrong again?

Only 7% rated a recession probability below 50%. “There is an escalating likelihood of a U.S. recession as early as the second half of 2022,” says Ernie Goss, Creighton University economist.

Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal last month pegged the probability of ... are watching to see if a recession is coming (or has already begun) in 2022. Look for: High inflation.

The U.S. economy is on solid footing, according to a new survey from the nation’s leading economists, who are also keeping a ...

JPMorgan risk managers and economists are seeing an increased probability of a moderate recession in part due ... And in comparison to the first quarter of 2022, the provision is more than 160% ...

The main factor lowering the probability of a recession beginning in the last ... having boosted short-term interest rates in 2022 and 2023 to combat the Biden-Harris administration's inflation.

Looking beyond unemployment data, the U.S. yield curve has been inverted since 2022. This often heralded ... currently puts the probability of a U.S. recession before February 2025 at 58%, that ...

A recession is most likely on the cards for the majority of the world, according to a December report from the investment management company BlackRock. James Morton, chief investment officer at ...

Goldman Sachs lowers probability of a US recession to ... US may enter a ‘mild’ recession soon i.e. by end of 2022 or early 2023. Recession storm clouds gather over the West, but there ...