When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

The economist Robert Solow, who died in December, once said that everything reminded Milton Friedman, his fellow Nobel ...

Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.29% this week from 4.22% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.49%, compared with ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

Since the 1970s, every U.S. recession has been preceded by an inverted yield curve. The end of the inversion came in response ...

The bond market shows unusual bear steepening, where long-term yields rise faster than short-term. Learn how investors should ...

The inverted Treasury yield curve is hitting extreme new levels. But paradoxically, it may be suggesting that investors are both more worried about a recession and less worried. WSJ’s Dion ...

High short-term interest rates could mean that the yield curve remains inverted for some time. If that happens, then the recession debate too, may go on for many more months.

If the curve remains inverted for long enough, it could cause a credit crunch and recession. Stocks move most on the gap between expectations and reality. Reading the yield curve correctly can ...

That would mirror the verdict of the inverted yield curve which has suggested a U.S. recession is more likely than not for the past 2 years. The Sahm rule forecasts recessions based on a 0.5% rise ...

The 2-10-year segment of the U.S. Treasury curve has been inverted for 482 business days, they said. The inversion reflects persistent delays to expectations of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts ...